Track record
Every prediction, graded in public.
No edited highlight reel. Two views: the historical model-validation dataset (28k+ graded fixtures) and the live measurement that started the day v8.1 went live.
Model validation · per tier
v8.1 evaluated set
IV Platinum
85.9%
291 graded picks
Wilson lower bound: 81.4%
III Gold
76.5%
618 graded picks
Wilson lower bound: 73.0%
II Silver
70.4%
858 graded picks
Wilson lower bound: 67.3%
I Bronze
59.4%
1,698 graded picks
Wilson lower bound: 57.1%
Live measurement
Since 2026-04-16
Overall accuracy
50.0%
Picks graded
304
Correct
152
platinum
80.0%
4 / 5
gold
62.2%
28 / 45
silver
57.1%
28 / 49
free
40.7%
24 / 59
Audit it yourself
The full per-pick history (with date, league, prediction, confidence, score and outcome) is in the dashboard. Free to scroll, free to export as CSV.
Educational simulation only. 18+. Past model performance is not indicative of future results. No financial or betting advice.